自然科学版
陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版)
资源与环境科学
对称性与宁夏地震灾害趋势判断
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杨蓉1,2, 延军平1*
(1 陕西师范大学 旅游与环境学院, 陕西 西安 710062 ;2 宁夏大学 资源环境学院, 宁夏 银川 750021)
杨蓉,女,讲师,博士研究生,主要研究方向为区域资源与环境可持续发展. E-mail:yangr821@163.com.*通信作者:延军平,男,教授, 博士研究生导师.E-mail:yanjp@ snnu.edu.cn.
摘要:
根据1920年以来宁夏5.0级以上地震资料,应用可公度趋势判断方法, 通过三元、四元、五元可公度计算及蝴蝶结构图分析, 对宁夏地震灾害的时间对称性及趋势进行了判断.结果表明, 2012—2014年,宁夏Ms≥5地震活动极为活跃,且2012年发生地震的信号最强,此外,2019年也是宁夏地震的可能高发年.该研究旨在丰富对称性方法的灾害趋势判断案例.
关键词:
对称性; 地震; 趋势判断; 宁夏
收稿日期:
2011-12-26
中图分类号:
P315.08; P315.75
文献标识码:
A
文章编号:
1672-4291(2012)06-0092-05
基金项目:
国家自然科学基金资助项目(41171090); 2011年度宁夏高校科学研究项目(411-0289).
Doi:
Research on symmetry and tendency of the earthquake disasters in Ningxia
YANG Rong1,2, YAN Jun-ping1*
(1 College of Tourism and Environment,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi′an 710062, Shaanxi, China;2 College of Resources and Environment, Ningxia University, Yinchuan 750021, Ningxia, China)
Abstract:
Based on the seismic data(Ms≥5) of Ningxia since 1920, the symmetry and tendency of the earthquake disasters in Ningxia were analyzed and judged by using the methods of commensurability information extraction and Map of Butterfly Structure (MBS). The results showed that the earthquakes (Ms≥5) would be extremely active from 2012 to 2014, and the earthquake signal appeared strongly in 2012. In addition, the year of 2019 may be a high frequency year that the earthquake disaster would happen in Ningxia. The study aimed at enriching case study on the disaster tendency of the symmetry method.
KeyWords:
symmetry; earthquake; tendency; Ningxia