自然科学版
陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版)
资源与环境科学
中国丝绸之路客源市场动态发展变化研究
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郑春丽1,韩春鲜2*
(1 新疆大学 旅游学院; 2 新疆大学 资源与环境科学学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830046)
郑春丽,女,硕士研究生,主要从事旅游可持续发展研究.
摘要:
利用竞争态、亲景度模型,结合市场份额方法,分析了中国丝绸之路客源市场变化特点.结果表明:1995—2006年丝绸之路的国际客源市场总体呈现萎缩趋势,该线路的亲景客源市场是日本、美国、英国、法国、德国、俄罗斯和澳大利亚,疏景市场是韩国和新加坡,强疏景市场是菲律宾和泰国.在中国国际旅游市场中,该线路具有竞争优势的客源市场是日本、美国、英国、法国、德国、俄罗斯和澳大利亚.同期,丝绸之路国际旅游市场分为三类:萎缩市场,如日本;平稳扩张市场,有美国、英国、法国、德国和俄罗斯;迅速扩张市场,包括加拿大、澳大利亚、韩国、新加坡、菲律宾和泰国.
关键词:
竞争态; 亲景度; 市场份额; 客源市场; 丝绸之路
收稿日期:
2008-07-09
中图分类号:
F590.8
文献标识码:
A
文章编号:
1672-4291(2009)01-0093-05
基金项目:
国家自然科学基金资助项目(40771058)
Doi:
Study on the tourism market dynamic change of the Chinese Silk Road
ZHENG Chun-li1, HAN Chun-xian2*
(1 College of Tourism, Xinjiang University;2 College of Resources and Environment Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, Xinjiang, China)
Abstract:
The international tourism market changes of the Chinese Silk Road were analyzed by the market competitive state mode, the preference scale and market share. It showed that the tourism market of the Chinese Silk Road in 1995—2006 was in a deterioration state in the overall. The scenery market included Japan, US, Britain, France, Germany, Russia and Australia;the weak sparse scenery market was composed of South Korea and Singapore;and the strong sparse scenery market included the Philippines and Thailand. In the international tourism market of the Chinese Silk Road, Japan, US, Britain, France, Germany, Russia and Australia had the competitive advantages. Combined with the market share, the international tourism market of the Chinese Silk Road in 1995—2006 was divided into three categories: shrinking markets, such as Japan;the smooth expansion market, such as the United States, Britain, France, Germany and Russia;and the rapid expansion market, such as Canada, Australia, South Korea, Singapore, the Philippines and Thailand.
KeyWords:
the competitive state;the preference scale;market share;tourism market;the Silk Road