自然科学版
陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版)
数学与计算机科学
受媒体报道影响的具有Logistic人口变化的SIRS传染病模型分析
PDF下载 ()
王俊荣, 窦霁虹*, 孙梦皎
(西北大学 数学学院,陕西 西安 710127)
窦霁虹,女,教授,主要从事微分方程定性理论及数学建模应用方向的研究。E-mail: feihong@nwu.edu.cn
摘要:
建立一类受媒体报道影响的具有Logistic人口变化的SIRS传染病模型。首先,计算出模型的平衡点;其次,根据修正再生数得到无病平衡点和地方病平衡点稳定的充分条件;最后,通过数值模拟验证了结论的有效性。得出媒体报道不仅可以加速传染病的消失,还可以降低感染者在总人数中的比例,以及人口环境容纳量越大,感染者在总人数中的比例就越低,但最终会趋于一个固定值这一新结论。通过观察感染者在总人数中的比例随时间变化的图像发现:人类对传染病的心理反应越大,感染者在总人数中的比例就越高。
关键词:
媒体报道;SIRS传染病模型;稳定性
收稿日期:
2017-06-30
中图分类号:
O175
文献标识码:
A
文章编号:
1672-4291(2018)06-0046-08
基金项目:
陕西省教育厅自然科学专项基金(CU063120603000)
Doi:
Analysis of an SIRS epidemic model with media coverage and Logistic variable population
WNAG Junrong, DOU Jihong*, SUN Mengjiao
(School of Mathematics,Northwest University, Xi′an 710127, Shaanxi, China)
Abstract:
An SIRS epidemic model with media coverage and Logistic variable population is formulated.Firstly, the equilibrium of the model is calculated;secondly, the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium′s stability of the sufficient conditions by the modified regeneration number are given.At last, numerical simulations are conducted to verify the true of conclusion and get that media can not only accelerate a disease of disappearance and can also reduce the ratio of the number of infected in the total population, as well as a new conclusion that is the more maximum population,the lower ratio of the number of infected in the total population.And the more reaction to diseases,the higher ratio of the number of infected in the total population by observing the graphics that is the transformation of the ratio of the number of infected in the total population with time.
KeyWords:
media coverage; SIRS epidemic model; stability