自然科学版
陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版)
数学与计算机科学
一个具有年龄结构和可变迁移率的SEIR模型
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刘胜
(北京林业大学 理学院, 北京 100083)
刘胜,男,副教授,博士。E-mail: LSHLXC@163.com
摘要:
建立具有年龄结构且迁移率与年龄有关的SEIR传染病模型,研究模型无病平衡态和地方病平衡态的存在性,以及无病平衡态的稳定性,得出了基本再生数的表达式。证明当基本再生数小于1时,系统只存在无病平衡态,且无病平衡态是全局渐近稳定的;当基本再生数大于1时,证明系统既存在无病平衡态,又存在地方病平衡态,此时无病平衡态是不稳定的。
关键词:
SEIR模型;年龄结构;迁移率;稳定性
收稿日期:
2017-09-09
中图分类号:
O175.21;O175.29
文献标识码:
A
文章编号:
1672-4291(2018)01-0005-05
基金项目:
国家自然科学基金(61179034)
Doi:
An age-structured SEIR model with variable migration rate
LIU Sheng
(College of Science, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China)
Abstract:
An age-structured SEIR epidemic model with age related migration rate is established. The existence of the disease free equilibrium state and the endemic equilibrium state of the model are studied. The stability of the disease free equilibrium state is investigated and the expression of the basic reproduction number is obtained. It is proved that only the disease free equilibrium state exists when the basic reproduction number is less than one,and the equilibrium state is global asymptotically stable. When the basic reproduction number is more than one, it is proved that both the disease free equilibrium state and the endemic equilibrium state exist. The disease free equilibrium state is not stable.
KeyWords:
SEIR model; age-structured; migration rate; stability