自然科学版
陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版)
资源与环境科学
1980—2012年中国香港国际交通-旅游-贸易(3T)互动的统计分析
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马红红, 孙根年*
(陕西师范大学 旅游与环境学院, 陕西 西安 710119)
孙根年,男,教授,博士生导师。E-mail:gnsun@snnu.edu.cn
摘要:
构建了国际交通-旅游-贸易(3T)互动概念模型,并依据1980—2012年统计数据,对中国香港国际交通、货物贸易、国际旅游的发展过程和相关关系进行了统计分析。结果显示:1980年以来,香港国际交通、旅游和贸易发展阶段一致,均经历缓慢增长、多难停滞和加速增长3个阶段;三者增长过程同步,表现为波动周期同涨同落;所构建的推拉方程决断系数R2 均在0.90以上,表明香港交通贸易、国际旅游与货物贸易存在显著相关性。其中,交通是互联互通的基础,旅游与贸易存在相互推动作用。
关键词:
国际交通; 国际旅游; 国际贸易; 3T互动; 香港
收稿日期:
2015-05-05
中图分类号:
F590
文献标识码:
A
文章编号:
1672-4291(2016)03-0095-07doi:10.15983/j.cnki.jsnu.2016.03.431
基金项目:
国家社会科学基金(12BJY131)
Doi:
Study on interaction of international transportation, tourism and trade (3T) of Hong Kong from 1980 to 2012
MA Honghong, SUN Gennian*
(School of Tourism and Environment Sciences, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi′an 710119, Shaanxi, China)
Abstract:
The 3T interactive model of international trade, transportation and tourism is built. According to the statistical data from 1980 to 2012, the development and correlation of 3T in Hong Kong are analyzed. The results show that since 1980, the stage development of transportation, tourism and trade of Hong Kong is synchronous.The growth process of transportation, travel and trade performances as the basic rules for rising and falling at the same time because of the same cycles.The constructed model shows that the international transport, tourism and trade have significant correlations.The decisive coefficient R2 of the regression equations we have built are all above 0.90,which indicates that the international transport,tourism and trade have significant correlations and also proves that traffic is the basis of the connectivity,tourism and trade promote each other.
KeyWords:
international transportation; international travel; international trade; 3T interaction;Hong Kong