自然科学版
陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版)
城市高质量发展研究专题
长三角城市群城市韧性与土地利用效益的耦合协调及驱动因素
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袁家德*,张杰,王玉纯
(安徽建筑大学 公共管理学院,安徽 合肥 230022)
袁家德,男,教授,硕士生导师。Email:yjd@ahjzu.edu.cn
摘要:
基于长三角城市群26个城市2010—2020年的面板数据,运用耦合协调、空间自相关、地理探测器等模型对城市韧性与土地利用效益的耦合协调水平、空间集聚特征及驱动因素进行分析。结果表明:长三角城市群城市韧性与土地利用效益均呈逐年上升的变化趋势,但在空间分布上存在明显差异。两个系统的耦合协调水平逐年攀升,多处良性耦合阶段,协调类型以轻度失调、濒临失调、初级协调和中级协调为主;耦合协调度在东西方向上一直呈现“东高西低”的空间分布特征,南北方向上则由“中部突出、南北部塌陷”向“中部高、南部次之、北部最低”的空间分异格局演变。耦合协调度的空间集聚效应不强,且局部区域的空间异质性随时间的变化程度不大;经济发展水平、政府调控能力和劳动力要素是影响两个系统协调发展的主要驱动因素,其中政府调控能力同其他因素的交互作用力最强。城市韧性与土地利用效益的关联性研究有助于为长三角城市群统筹抓好风险防控和土地集约利用工作提供参考依据,并为中国其他地区的可持续发展提供相关经验。
关键词:
城市韧性;土地利用效益;耦合协调;长三角城市群;地理探测器
收稿日期:
2022-12-17
中图分类号:
F299.27;F301.2
文献标识码:
A
文章编号:
16724291(2023)06007212
基金项目:
国家社会科学基金(22CRK008);安徽省高校省级人文社会科学重点项目(SK2021A0355);安徽省教育厅重大项目 (SK2021ZD0056)
Doi:
10.15983/j.cnki.jsnu.2023131
Coupling coordination and driving factors of urban resilience and land use efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration
YUAN Jiade*, ZHANG Jie, WANG Yuchun
(School of Public Policy & Management, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230022, Anhui, China)
Abstract:
Based on the panel data of 26 cities in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2010 to 2020, the coupling coordination level, spatial agglomeration characteristics and driving factors of urban resilience and land use benefit are analyzed by using the models of coupling coordination, spatial autocorrelation and geographical detector. The results show that the urban resilience and land use benefit of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration continue to rise, but there are obvious differences in spatial distribution. The coupling coordination of the two systems is also increasing year by year. The coordination types are mainly mild imbalance, near imbalance, primary coordination and intermediate coordination. In the eastwest direction, it has always presented the spatial distribution characteristics of “high in the east and low in the west”. In the northsouth direction, it has evolved from the spatial differentiation pattern of “prominent in the middle and collapsed in the north and south” to “high in the middle, followed by the south and lowest in the north”. Moreover, the spatial agglomeration effect of coupling coordination degree is not strong, and the spatial heterogeneity of local areas does not change much with time. The level of economic development, government regulation ability and labor factor are the main driving factors affecting the coordinated development of the two systems. Among them, the interaction between government regulation ability and other factors is the strongest. The research on the correlation between urban resilience and land use benefit is helpful to provide a reference for the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration to do a good job in risk prevention and control, intensive land use, and to provide relevant experience for the sustainable development of other regions in China.
KeyWords:
urban resilience; land use benefit; the coupling coordination; Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration; geographic detector