哲学社会科学版
陕西师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)
经济学研究
我国民间借贷的演化路径及相关对策分析——基于金融不稳定性假说的视角
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刘新华, 李丽丹
(陕西师范大学 国际商学院, 陕西 西安 710062)
刘新华,女,陕西西安市人,经济学博士,陕西师范大学国际商学院教授。
摘要:
民间借贷作为正规金融的补充,有力地支持了中小企业及“三农”的发展,已成为我国金融支持实体经济的重要力量,其存在和发展具有一定合理性和必然性。然而民间借贷形式和内涵的演化使其对实体经济和正规金融发展产生重要影响。2011年以来,我国区域性民间融资问题频发,温州和鄂尔多斯等地区出现民间借贷资金链断裂,引发中小企业大规模倒闭及老板跑路等问题,深入剖析民间借贷的内在演化机理并对症解决问题才是关键。明斯基的金融不稳定性假说对危机的解释更具说服力,稳定孕育着不稳定,我国民间借贷从对冲性融资向庞氏融资的转化是其脆弱性形成的内在根源。改革的根本在于创建民间借贷健康发展的实体经济基础,明斯基的“大银行、大政府”的“大监管”模式和社区性发展银行改革设想应该成为民间借贷发展的重要出路。
关键词:
民间借贷; 金融不稳定性假说; 影子金融; 社区发展银行
收稿日期:
2013-01-10
中图分类号:
F832.479
文献标识码:
文章编号:
1672-4283(2013)03-0022-07
基金项目:
教育部出国留学基金项目(201109); 2011年中央高校基金项目(11SZYB35); 陕西师范大学教育教学改革项目(201112)
Doi:
Evolutionary Means of Private Loan in Our Country and Analysis of Relevant Counterstrategies
LIU Xinhua, LI Lidan
(School of International Business, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710062, Shaanxi)
Abstract:
As a supplementation to regular banking, private loan has risen as an important force our financial support to substantial economy by offering powerful support to development of mediumsize and petty enterprises and agriculture, hence certain necessity and reasonableness of its existence and development. However, the evolution of form and implication of private loan makes itself exercise significant effects on substantial economy and growth of regular banking. Since 2011, one problem in regional private financing has risen after another. The most typical problems occurred in Wenzhou and Ordos, which caused the breaking of capital chain of private financing, closing down of mediumsize and petty enterprises in large scale, and many bosses escaping. Therefore, the key point is to make a deep analysis of the internal evolutionary mechanism of private loan and introduce specific solutions to the problems. Minsky’s hypothesis of financial instability offers a convincing explanation to financial crisis. According to the abovementioned theory, the internal cause for private financing weakness lies in transition from Hedge financing to Ponzi financing. To improve the situation, a substantial economic foundation needs to be laid for healthy development of private loan. Moreover, a “macrosupervision” mode by “macrobank” and “macrogovernment” and reform hypothesis of establishing community development banks introduced by Minsky offer significant means for development of private financing.
KeyWords:
private loan; hypothesis of financial instability; shadow banking; community development bank